Supreme Petrochem Ltd - Jan 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Analysis

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Earnings Call Transcript Analysis Report #

Financial Performance #

Key Metrics #

  • Q3 FY25: Operating Income: Rs. 1,405 crore; EBITDA: Rs. 116.70 crore; PAT: Rs. 71 crore (implied from 5.08% margin); PAT Margin: 5.08%.
  • 9M FY25: Revenue: Rs. 4,484 crore; EBITDA: Rs. 443 crore; EBITDA Margin: 9.87%; PAT: Rs. 284 crore; PAT Margin: 6.32%.

Comparisons #

  • Q3 PAT grew 5.5% YoY.
  • 9M PAT increased approx. 32% YoY.
  • Q3 Sales Volume (manufactured products) increased 21.1% YoY.
  • 9M Sales Volume (manufactured products) increased 13.7% YoY.
  • Gross and operating spreads per tonne saw compression in Q3 due to declining styrene monomer prices impacting margins due to the lag between procurement and sales.
  • Spot Polystyrene/Styrene spreads mentioned at $200-$250/tonne, but realized margins are impacted by older, higher-cost inventory.

Guidance/Forecasts #

  • Maintains guidance for ~8% volume growth for the full FY25, targeting ~350,000 tonnes (vs 325,000 tonnes in FY24).
  • Expects Q4 FY25 volumes to be similar to Q4 FY24 (~96,000 tonnes), implying lower YoY growth in Q4 compared to previous quarters, potentially due to lower exports.
  • Expects similar volume growth (~7-8%) in FY26, excluding the new ABS volumes.

Areas of Growth/Decline #

  • Strong volume growth across segments in 9M FY25.
  • Margin compression in Q3 due to raw material price dynamics.
  • Company remains debt-free with an investible surplus of Rs. 680 crore as of Dec 2024.

Strategic Initiatives & Business Updates #

Mass ABS Project (Phase 1) #

  • Capacity: 70,000 TPA.
  • Timeline: Mechanical completion expected by end-March 2025, commissioning scheduled for Q1 FY26.
  • Market Readiness: Discussions with potential customers ongoing with collaborator (Versalis) support. Confident in selling the product comfortably post-launch. Sampling will begin post-commissioning.

Mass ABS Project (Phase 2) #

  • Timeline: Hope to start implementation in the coming financial year (FY26). Capacity likely similar to Phase 1.

Haryana Plant Expansion #

  • CapEx: Estimated INR 800 crore.
  • Timeline: Pre-project activities started. Project implementation at the site expected to begin towards Q3 FY26.
  • Product Mix: Polystyrene (100k TPA), Expandable Polystyrene (EPS) (50k TPA), Extruded Polystyrene (XPS) (100k cubic meters), EPS 3D Panels (1 million sq meters), Polystyrene & ABS Sheeting.
  • PS/EPS timing linked to IOC’s styrene monomer project implementation.
  • Expected Financials: Asset turnover projected at ~2.5x with a better margin profile due to value-added downstream products.

XPS (Extruded Polystyrene) #

  • Capacity expansion of 1 lakh cubic meters planned (timing mentioned as Q1 FY26 alongside ABS commissioning or soon after).
  • Current sales (~Rs 50 crore) indicate underutilization.