Mankind Pharma Ltd - Jan 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Analysis

  ·   5 min read

Earnings Call Transcript Analysis Report #

Financial Performance #

Key Financial Metrics (Q3 FY25) #

  • Revenue: INR 3,230 crores, up 24% YoY.
    • Organic growth: 11.2% YoY.
    • Domestic organic growth: 8.4% YoY.
    • Export organic growth: 43% YoY.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 27.7%.
    • Reported EBITDA: INR 833 crores, up 36.4% YoY, margin of 25.8%.
  • Gross Margins: Increased to 71% YoY from 68.3% in Q3 FY24.
  • PAT: Decreased by 16.4% to INR 385 crores.
  • Diluted EPS: INR 9.4 per share.
  • Cash EPS: INR 14.2 per share.
  • R&D Expenses: INR 71 crores (2.2% of sales).
  • Depreciation and Amortization: INR 192 crores (includes INR 84 crores amortization from BSV assets).

Key Financial Metrics (9M FY25) #

  • Revenue: Increased by 17% YoY.
  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 26.9%.
    • Reported EBITDA margin: 25.8%.
  • Organic Growth: 12.3% YoY.
    • Domestic organic growth: 9.3% YoY.
    • Export organic growth: 53% YoY.
  • Consolidated Effective Tax Rate: 21.2%.
  • Cash Flow from Operations: INR 1,599 crores (down 2.3% YoY).
  • Cash Flow to EBITDA Ratio: 67.4%.
  • Capex Spends: INR 344 crores (3.7% of total revenue).

Guidance & Forecasts #

  • R&D Expenses: Stated guidance of 2% to 2.5% of sales.
  • Effective Tax Rate: Guidance of 21% to 22%.
  • Capex: Guidance of 4% to 5% of revenue.
  • Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA: Endeavor to achieve 2x by end of FY25.
  • Interest Cost (Next Quarter): Expected to be in the range of INR 180-odd crores.

Areas of Growth or Decline #

  • Growth: Overall revenue (driven by both organic and BSV acquisition), export business (organic growth of 43% in Q3, 53% in 9M), OTC business (30% YoY in Q3, 15% YoY in 9M), Chronic segment share (increased by 200 bps YoY to 37.6% ex-BSV).
  • Decline/Slowdown: PAT (due to higher finance and amortization costs), organic domestic formulation growth (around 6.5-7% in Q3, impacted by acute segment softness and corrective measures).
  • Working Capital: Net operating working capital days increased to 52 days from 45 days in the preceding quarter.

Strategic Initiatives & Business Updates #

BSV Acquisition & Integration #

  • Acquisition completed, BSV financials consolidated from October 23rd, 2024 (69 days in Q3).
  • Integration is “on track.”
  • Significant restructuring in the Rx business (TTK business of BSV), shifting to Mankind, field force optimization.
  • Synergy benefits expected: INR 50-100 crores over 12-24 months.

Corrective Measures #

  • Delhi Pharma Divisions: Undertaken to enhance field force productivity and efficiency. Nearing completion (80-90% done).
    • Measures include addressing inefficiencies in primary/discounted sales, doctor coverage strategy, leadership changes.
  • OTC Division: Corrective measures completed, leading to robust growth.

Product Portfolio & R&D #

  • Expansion of DMF grade products: Over 215 (vs 150 in FY24), >90% in chronic segment.
  • Partnership with Innovent Biologics: In-licensing of Sintilimab (PD-1 immunotherapy for cancer treatment).

Financial Strategy #

  • Raised INR 10,000 crores (NCDs & CPs) for BSV acquisition.
  • Raised INR 3,000 crores in equity, used to repay CPs.

Operational Changes #

  • OTC business carved out into a wholly-owned subsidiary.
  • Field force strength (Mankind): Increased from 16,043 (Mar 2024) to 16,570 (Dec 2024). Not cutting down, but replacing and optimizing.

Market & Competitive Landscape #

Market Share & Positioning #

  • IPM market share (value): Increased by 40 bps to 4.8% (Dec ‘24) from 4.4% (Mar ‘24), “primarily driven by acquisition of BSV.”
  • CVM Cardio Rank: Improved from 4th to 3rd in IPM.
  • Aiming for leadership.
  • Chronic Segment Growth: Continued outperformance in key chronic therapies. Mankind’s chronic share (ex-BSV) increased to 37.6% in Q3 FY25 from 35.6% in Q3 FY24.
  • Cancer Incidence: Rising cancer cases in India, creating demand for innovative therapies like Sintilimab.

Competitive Actions/Statements #

  • Focus on “high entry barrier portfolios” and “specialty R&D tech platforms” through acquisitions like BSV.
  • Corrective measures aimed at improving competitiveness and field force productivity against market.

Market Challenges/Opportunities #

  • Challenge: Softer acute market for Mankind due to corrective measures and some regulatory impacts.
  • Opportunity: Expanding into specialty/super-specialty segments (BSV), growing chronic market, robust OTC market potential.

Risk Factors & Challenges #

Corrective Actions Impact #

  • Temporary slowdown in growth, especially in the acute segment of the domestic pharma business.

BSV Integration & Restructuring #

  • Ongoing integration process for BSV.
  • Restructuring of BSV’s Rx business leading to soft performance in that segment.

Regulatory Issues #

  • Impact on acute segment growth from regulatory tailwinds concerning emergency contraceptive pills, an FDC anti-infective, and a codeine preparation.
  • DPCO matter affecting value growth in a gynaecology product.

Financial Metrics Pressure #

  • Higher finance costs and amortization from BSV acquisition impacting PAT.
  • Increased working capital days.

Operational Constraints #

  • New field force members (due to replacements during corrective actions) need time to build rapport and productivity.

Forward-Looking Statements #

Overall Outlook #

  • Confident in delivering sustainable long-term growth, supported by corrective actions and four growth engines.

Corrective Measures Completion #

  • Remaining 10-20% of corrective actions in Delhi pharma divisions to be completed in Q4 FY25.

BSV Business #

  • Priority is successful integration for long-term sustainable growth.
  • Expected to grow 15%+ with higher export growth in the medium term.
  • Margin improvement targeted: Starting at company average (26-28%), aiming for ~30% in 2-3 years, and “for sure in the next 5 years.”
  • Rx business restructuring (TTK) to see improvements from Q4 onwards.

Financial Targets #

  • Net debt to adjusted EBITDA: Target of 2x by end of FY25.
  • Interest cost next quarter: Around INR 180 crores.

Product Pipeline #

  • Planning to introduce a replacement (single molecule) for the anti-infective FDC affected by regulatory issues within a month.

Future Growth #

  • Expects growth to improve post-completion of corrective measures.
  • Chronic PCPM expected to grow faster and eventually align with company average.