Samhi Hotels Ltd - May 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Analysis

  ·   5 min read

Earnings Call Transcript Analysis Report #

SAMHI Hotels - GIC Strategic Partnership: Earnings Call Analysis #

Financial Performance Highlights #

  • Total Investment by GIC: Rs. 752 crores for a 35% stake in three subsidiaries.
    • Upfront: Rs. 603 crores, primarily for debt reduction.
    • Deferred: Rs. 149 crores over two years for CAPEX.
  • Debt Reduction: Expected reduction of “Rs. 580-odd crores” in SAMHI’s overall debt.
  • PAT Impact: Anticipated “15% to 20% upward impact on PAT” for SAMHI due to the transaction, after factoring in minority interest.
  • Net Debt to EBITDA: Expected to be “less than 3.5x” at closing, aiming for “less than 3.0x in the next 12 months.”
  • Valuation of Seed Assets: The three subsidiaries are valued at approximately “Rs. 2,200 crores.”
  • Trailing EBITDA of Seed Assets: Rs. 133.8 crores as of December 2024.
  • Interest Cost Reduction: Expected decrease from “9.4%” to “lower than 9%.”
  • Asset Management Fee: SAMHI will receive a “4% of the EBITDA” fee from the hotels within the GIC platform.

Guidance and Forecasts #

  • EBITDA CAGR for SAMHI’s overall portfolio (excluding new acquisitions beyond the current pipeline) is conservatively estimated at “15% to 20%,” projected to generate “Rs. 1,000 crores to Rs. 1200 crores of cash” over the next three to four years.
  • After identified CAPEX of Rs. 500 crores, an “investable surplus of about Rs. 500 crores” is expected.

Areas of Growth #

  • Significant deleveraging strengthens the balance sheet and “boosts future cash flows.”
  • The partnership is a vehicle for future growth in the upscale segment.

Strategic Initiatives & Business Updates #

  • Strategic Partnership with GIC: Establishes an “investment platform for upscale and higher category of hotels in India.”
    • GIC acquires a 35% stake in three SAMHI subsidiaries:
      1. Courtyard and Fairfield by Marriott Bangalore Outer Ring Road
      2. Hyatt Regency in Pune
      3. Trinity Hotels in Bangalore, Whitefield (to be redeveloped into Westin & Tribute Portfolio)
  • Capital Recycling Strategy: The transaction is a core part of SAMHI’s “stated strategy of capital recycling.”
  • Investment Platform Details:
    • Indicative commitment of “$300 million,” including seed assets. GIC’s share is 35%, SAMHI’s 65%.
    • The platform has “first right on upscale hotels that we find as an acquisition opportunity.”
  • Ongoing/Completed Projects:
    • Rs. 149 crores from GIC will part-fund CAPEX for the “proposed Westin & Tribute Portfolio Bangalore Whitefield dual branded hotel” (Total CAPEX: Rs. 275 crores).
    • Other growth drivers: “New Holiday Inn Express is coming alive across the three markets, the W in Hyderabad which is under development.”
  • Operational Changes:
    • Post-transaction, SAMHI JV and Innmar will become debt-free. Ascent Hotels will retain about Rs. 200 crores of debt.
    • Shareholder loans from SAMHI to these SPVs will be repaid.

Market & Competitive Landscape #

  • Industry Trends & Opportunities:
    • The partnership targets “upscale and higher category of hotels in India,” indicating opportunity in this segment.
    • Focus on “acquisition and turnaround.”
    • Continued opportunities on “long term variable leases,” particularly in the broader midscale segment.
  • Competitive Positioning:
    • The ability to attract GIC is highlighted as a competitive strength.
    • The partnership aims to make SAMHI “a fairly competitive platform for future growth.”
  • Market Cycle: The partnership is starting in a “very strong market cycle.”

Risk Factors & Challenges #

  • Leverage: High leverage was a significant concern addressed by the transaction.
  • Capital Intensity: Upscale hotels are “capital intensive.” The GIC partnership helps mitigate this.
  • Project Execution: Project development and rebranding (like Whitefield) carry execution risks.
  • Market Uncertainties: The hotel business is inherently “volatile.”

Forward-Looking Statements #

  • Deleveraging: Net debt to EBITDA to be “< 3.5x” on closing, “< 3.0x” in the next 12 months, and aiming for “2.5x.”
  • PAT Growth: 15-20% upward impact on reported PAT due to the transaction.
  • Cash Flow Generation: SAMHI projects accumulating “Rs. 1,000 crores to Rs. 1200 crores of cash” in the next 3-4 years, with “clear visibility on an investable surplus of about Rs. 500 crores.”
  • Interest Rates: Expectation for overall borrowing costs to fall “lower than 9%.”
  • Growth of GIC Platform: Intention to “grow this platform beyond the three seed assets.” The platform has a “$300 million” indicative commitment (including seed assets).
  • Continued evaluation of asset recycling in the midscale portfolio, with optimism of “concluding one of that at least in the course of the next six to eight months.”
  • Future growth: Focus on “acquisition and turnaround” for the GIC platform.
  • Maintaining a healthy balance sheet is a priority.

Q&A Insights #

  • Most Pressing Analyst Questions:
    • Details of debt reduction at SPV vs. parent level.
    • Rationale for structuring the deal at the subsidiary level vs. listed entity level.
    • Future growth capacity of the GIC platform and SAMHI.
    • Financial impact specifics: PAT accretion, interest savings, asset management fee.
    • Exclusivity terms with GIC and plans for remaining upscale assets.
    • Valuation metrics of the deal.
  • Management’s Responses to Challenging Questions:
    • Subsidiary vs. Parent Level Investment: Allows for GIC’s “active participation.”
    • Debt Allocation: Explained mechanics of upstreaming capital and repaying shareholder loans within SPVs to optimize overall debt reduction.
    • Future GIC commitment beyond seed: Clarified the $300M platform target is indicative and both partners are well-capitalized.
  • Questions Evaded or Answered Indirectly:
    • Forward-looking EBITDA projections for specific assets.
    • Specific key/hotel count targets for the GIC platform.
  • New Information Revealed During Q&A:
    • TTM Dec 2024 EBITDA of the 3 assets: Rs. 133.8 crores (SAMHI JV: Rs. 74.1 cr, Ascent: Rs. 47.6 cr, Innmar: Rs. 6.7 cr).
    • SAMHI JV: GIC buying 14% from SAMHI for Rs. 115 crores, balance through primary infusion.